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I appeared on Silvio Canto Jr's talk show from Dallas.  It's here.

 

 

 

 

JUNE 11-12,  2023

WHERE AMERICA STANDS ON TRUMP:  The polls will be fluid, and, as we've said, we use polls to suggest trends rather than precise numbers.  From Fox: 

While nearly half of Americans support the second indictment of former President Donald Trump relating to his alleged mishandling of classified documents after leaving office, many also believe it was politically motivated.

On Thursday, Trump announced he was indicted by Special Counsel Jack Smith on 37 federal counts relating to the unlawful retention of classified documents, describing the investigation to Fox News Digital as "the greatest witch hunt of all time."

A recent ABC/Ipsos poll conducted after the shocking indictment found that 48% of Americans think Trump was rightfully charged in the classified documents case, while 35% do not think he should have been indicted. About 17% reported feeling unsure about whether the former president should have been indicted the second time.

Among political parties, 86% of Democrats and 45% of independents said they support the indictment, while the majority of Republicans, 67%, disagree with the charges against Trump.

The unsealed indictment states that during his presidency, Trump "gathered newspapers, press clippings, letters, notes, cards, photographs, official documents, and other materials in cardboard boxes that he kept in the White House." Smith also claimed Trump showed classified documents to others twice in 2021.

According to the poll, 47% of Americans think the charges against Trump are politically motivated, 37% said they do not think that politics are driving the investigation, and 16% do not know.

About 42% of American believe the charges are very serious, while 28% do not think the charges against the former president should be taken seriously.

While the former president says he will plead not guilty, the poll suggested that 46% of Americans think that given the charges, Trump should halt his 2024 campaign for president. Despite some concern, 38% believe he should continue his campaign, while 16% did not have an opinion.

The survey also revealed that 2024 contenders Trump and President Joe Biden both have a favorability rating of 31% among voters. The ABC News/Ipsos poll was conducted from June 9-10, 2023, in English and Spanish with a margin of error of 3.7 percentage points.  

In March 2022, the FBI launched a criminal probe into alleged unlawful retention of classified documents at Mar-a-Lago, seizing 102 documents with classification markings from Trump's Florida home during an unexpected raid in August 2022.

COMMENT:  I think what the numbers show is what we should reasonably expect – that no matter
how much Americans believe that the proceedings against Trump are politically motivated, they are impressed with some of the specifics of the charges against him.  What Americans seem to be asking Trump is, "We know this is all about politics, but did you actually do these things?"  It is a wearing down process.  The Israelis call it "salami tactics" - one slice at a time.

It's impossible to say how long Trump can last as the GOP frontrunner, given his legal woes.  And there are more woes coming.  Will there be a point where even his strongest supporters, and pro-Trump operatives in the Republican Party, will say, "We love you, Mr. President, but we must win the 2024 election, and another candidate is needed." 

Richard Nixon, during Watergate, was persuaded to leave the presidency by a committee of Republicans who told him he would not survive an impeachment trial.  Is such a committee in Trump's future?  What would he say to them?

And will Joe Biden falter medically, raising the most profound questions about whether he can head the 2024 Democratic ticket?  Will the Democratic race open up?

The coming year will not be boring.

June 12, 2023       Permalink


REMEMBER, THERE'S A WAR ON, AND WE ARE INVOLVED AS A SUPPLIER.  FROM REUTERS

Ukraine said on Sunday its troops had recaptured three villages from Russian forces in its southeast, the first liberated settlements it has reported since launching a counter-offensive this week.

Kyiv‘s forces posted unverified videos showing soldiers hoisting the Ukrainian flag at a bombed-out building in the village of Blahodatne in Donetsk region and posing with their unit’s flag in the adjacent village of Neskuchne.

“We’re seeing the first results of the counter-offensive actions, localized results,” Valeryi Shershen, spokesperson for Ukraine‘s “Tavria” military sector, said on television.

Ukraine‘s army also retook Makarivka, the next village to the south, and advanced between 300 and 1,500 meters in two directions on the southern front, Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Maliar said in a statement.

“No positions were lost on the directions where our forces are on the defensive,” Maliar added.

President Volodymyr Zelensky on Saturday gave his strongest signal yet that Kyiv has launched its long-awaited counterattack to seize back land in the east and south, confirming that “counteroffensive and defensive operations” were taking place.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Friday that a Ukrainian military push was well underway, but that it had failed so far to breach Russian defensive lines and taken heavy casualties.

Kyiv officials have imposed a strict period of operational silence and urged Ukrainians not to disclose any information that could compromise the operation.

With so little information out of Kyiv and scant independent reporting from the front lines, it has been almost impossible to assess the battlefield situation.

The video from Blahodatne showed Ukrainian troops inside a heavily damaged building as the sound of artillery rumbled in the distance.

COMMENT:  That's a big part of the problem here, accurate information.  We can't base our policy on claims and morale-boosting announcements.  We hope the Ukrainians push the Russians out, but hope is not a policy. 

Stand by for more.

June 12, 2023       Permalink 

 

 

 

JUNE 9-10,  2023

PRIOR TO SUPREME COURT DECISION, AMERICANS SAY NYET TO AFFIRMATIVE ACTION.  This could be a landmark decision, but we make no predictions.  From HotAir: 

As we await the Supreme Court decision that could bring an end to affirmative action, Pew Research has published the results of a poll showing that fully half of US adults disapprove of it.

Half of U.S. adults say they disapprove of selective colleges and universities taking prospective students’ racial and ethnic backgrounds into account when making admissions decisions. Fewer (33%) approve of colleges considering race and ethnicity to increase diversity at the schools, while 16% are not sure.

With the court nearing the end of its term and decisions in two related cases involving the private Harvard College and the public University of North Carolina expected to be issued in the next several weeks, a new Pew Research Center survey finds that Americans are nearly three times as likely to say they strongly disapprove of colleges doing this (29%) as they are to say they strongly approve (11%).

The split among partisans is not surprising. Nearly 75% of Republicans oppose it and 54% of Democrats approve of it. Still, that leaves 29% of Democrats who disapprove. The racial divides are also probably what you would predict.

Nearly half of Black Americans (47%) say they approve of colleges and universities considering prospective students’ racial and ethnic backgrounds when making admissions decisions, compared with 29% who disapprove (24% are not sure).

Among Hispanic Americans, identical shares approve and disapprove of these practices (39% each). Both White and Asian Americans are more likely to disapprove of colleges doing this (57% of White adults and 52% of Asian adults) than to approve (29% and 37%, respectively).

The most interesting result here is that the partisan political divide on this issue is bigger than the racial divide. Only 47% of Black Americans overall support this but white Democrats are at 59 percent:

Roughly six-in-ten White Democrats (59%) approve of race and ethnicity being considered in college admissions decisions, while about a quarter (26%) oppose this. An identical share of Black Democrats express opposition to these practices, while half express support. Black Democrats are more likely than White Democrats to say they’re unsure (23% vs. 15%).

Hispanic and Asian Democrats both support affirmative action at 48%, about the same as Black Democrats. So it’s really white Democrats who are for this. There were only two groups who showed even stronger support. Black Americans with a college degree (64%) and liberal Democrats (66%).

COMMENTS:  Read the rest.  Fascinating.  A greater percentage of liberal whites support affirmative action than do black Americans.  Maybe our real problem in this country is the liberal white guy trying to virtue-signal himself to Heaven. 

Even if the Supreme Court rules against affirmative action, don't be surprised if colleges find a way to get around the ruling.  When you're a noble liberal in the midst of saving the world, any technique must be tried.

June 10, 2023      Permalink

 

AW NUTS!  GOODBYE TO A FRIEND:  Former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, a great friend of the United States, has resigned from Parliament, after facing a series of charges.  I know nothing of the charges, but we in America should appreciate a man who, however eccentric, was firmly in the freedom corner.  From AP:

LONDON (AP) — Former U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson shocked Britain on Friday by quitting as a lawmaker after being told he will be sanctioned for misleading Parliament. He departed with a ferocious tirade at his political opponents — and at his successor, Rishi Sunak — that could blast open tensions within the governing Conservative Party.

Johnson resigned after receiving the results of an investigation by lawmakers into misleading statements he made to Parliament about “partygate,” a series of rule-breaking government parties during the COVID-19 pandemic.

In a lengthy resignation statement, Johnson accused opponents of trying to drive him out — and hinted that his rollercoaster political career might not be over yet.

“It is very sad to be leaving Parliament — at least for now,” he said.
Johnson, 58, said he had “received a letter from the Privileges Committee making it clear — much to my amazement — that they are determined to use the proceedings against me to drive me out of Parliament.”

He called the committee investigating him — which has members from both government and opposition parties — a “kangaroo court.”

“Their purpose from the beginning has been to find me guilty, regardless of the facts,” Johnson said.

The resignation will trigger a special election to replace Johnson as a lawmaker for a suburban London seat in the House of Commons.

Johnson, whose career has seen a series of scandals and comebacks, led the Conservatives to a landslide victory in 2019 but was forced out by his own party less than three years later.

He had been awaiting the outcome of an investigation by a House of Commons standards committee over misleading statements he made to Parliament about a slew of gatherings in government buildings in 2020 and 2021 that breached pandemic lockdown rules.

COMMENT:  I do wish some of the people on our side around the world would be a bit better behaved.  It's not a good thing to provide the political enemy with ammunition.  On the other hand, one delights in some of the great conservative personalities in Britain that we've enjoyed over the decades, including Winston Churchill and Boris Johnson. 

They used to say that Democrats have more fun.  I really doubt it today.   

June 10,  2023     Permalink

 

 

 

 

 

 

 "What you see is news.  What you know is background.  What you feel is opinion."
    - Lester Markel, late Sunday editor
      of The New York Times.


"Political correctness does not legislate tolerance; it only organizes hatred. "
     - Jacques Barzun

"Against stupidity the gods themselves struggle in vain."
     - Schiller

 

 

 

 



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