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SEPTEMBER 20,  2021

SHORT TAKES ON THE DRIFTING WRECKAGE – OVERNIGHT:

TRUDEAU STAYS – FROM REUTERS:   MONTREAL/OTTAWA, (Reuters) - Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau hung onto power on Monday as his main rival conceded defeat, saying he had won a clear mandate to govern although he fell short of his goal for a majority win.  Trudeau, in power since 2015 and governing with a minority of House of Commons seats since 2019, decided to gamble on an early vote and capitalize on his government's handling of the pandemic, which included massive spending to support individuals and businesses and a push for high vaccination rates.  Instead, he will end up where he started after an unexpectedly tight election race characterized by a lackluster campaign and voter anger at an election during a pandemic.  Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole, whose party placed second, conceded defeat as results trickled in late into the night. Trudeau spoke to supporters shortly after, pledging to work with other parties for the good of all Canadians.   A disappointment for us, and another reminder that unseating leftists is more difficult than we think, no matter what the country.  Reject overconfidence as we enter 2022.

WE'LL LOOK FORWARD TO IT – FROM FOX BUSINESS:    Fox Business Network will debut a new primetime programming slate on Monday, "FBN Prime," that will feature even more Stuart Varney when "American Built" debuts at 9 p.m. ET.  "The new primetime lineup is all about America's greatness and it's designed to open up our viewers to a point of view that is patriotic, pro-America and pro-capitalism," Varney told Fox News Digital. "That's what we're doing."  "American Built with Stuart Varney" will air each Monday as FBN’s top-rated host dives into the design and ingenuity of iconic American landmarks with back-to-back episodes of the show that began on Fox Nation.   "It’s the story of America's brilliant engineers who opened up a whole continent and made it livable," Varney said.  "It's a story of problem solving, innovation and enormous perseverance."  Varney feels many Americans have forgotten what a truly remarkable country we live in but "American Built" will help remind viewers of its greatness.   "As a newly minted American citizen, I'm in a very strong position to point out what's so good about it," he said. "We wanted the story of America's greatness to be on primetime on Fox Business."  Good idea.  They should make Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton watch it.

September 20, 2021       Permalink

 

IS THIS COMEBACK REAL? – OVERNIGHT:  We always stress that polls are snapshots in time.  But, let's face it, they can be great fun, statistical mischief in a dreary world.  And so we note with interest the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris poll, which seems to suggest that Donald Trump is winning new respectability with a public that has now seen the presidency of Joe Biden.  From Breitbart: 

Former President Donald Trump is more popular with registered voters than President Joe Biden, according to a Monday Harvard CAPS/Harris poll released by the Hill.

“Forty-eight percent of respondents say they have a positive view of Trump compared to 46 percent who say they have a favorable opinion of his successor,” the Hill reported.

In addition to respondents’ more positive view of Trump than Biden, 51 percent believe Trump was actually “a better president than Biden.”

During Trump’s tenure, the United States succeeded at hammering out trade deals, constructing historic Middle East peace agreements, and raising wages for many varying demographics. In contrast, Biden’s presidency has been defined by the deadly Afghan evacuation that left hundreds to thousands of U.S. documented residents stranded behind enemy lines and droned Afghan civilians.

The Hill, an establishment media outlet with a left-wing bias, admitted the poll’s numbers are “remarkable” for Biden, “who repeatedly out-performed Trump’s favorability numbers throughout the early months of his presidency.”

The left-wing publication asserted the “bruised public perceptions of Biden” are due to his mismanagement of the Chinese coronavirus and virus messaging along with the Afghanistan hostage crisis.

On the coronavirus messaging front, for instance, Biden implemented vaccine mandates on medium to large size businesses while scolding the unvaccinated for refusing to get the “effective” jab, suggesting the unvaccinated are causing the vaccinated ill health.

“Your refusal has cost all of us,” he said on September 8. “We’ve been patient, but our patience is wearing thin.”

Biden’s confusing communication upon the vaccine’s effectiveness has resulted in only 48 percent of U.S. adults approving of Biden’s handling of the coronavirus crisis with 49 disapproving, according to polling by Quinnipiac University. In August, those numbers were flipped, with fifty-three percent approving and 40 percent disapproving.

COMMENT:  Obviously, these numbers can change dramatically, and go either way.  And who knows?  When polls like this are taken at a time when they really start to count, which means after the 2022 midterms, we may not even have a President Biden.  Fate will take its course.

But for the moment, Donald Trump must be feelin' his oats.  And planning, if only in his dreams, his 2024 bid to return to the White House.

September 20,  2021     Permalink

 

 

 

 

SEPTEMBER 19,  2021

SHORT TAKES ON THE DRIFTING WRECKAGE – OVERNIGHT:

THUMBS DOWN ON BIDEN – FROM BIZPACREVIEW:   A new poll conducted by Fox News was released this Sunday, which indicates that the percentage of respondents who feel the country is more united under President Joe Biden has declined. It has fallen to the point where those who think the country is less united are now in the majority, according to the poll.  The numbers show a huge discrepancy between the campaign rhetoric and public perception. A whopping 54 percent feel the country is less united since Biden took office, while only 37 percent felt it was more united.  The poll also measured perceptions about Biden in terms of empathy and caring as a leader. Only 51 percent think Biden “cares about people like you,” which is down from last year, just before the election (October of 2020), where the same question prompted 56 percent agreement. While Democrats and Republicans continued to feel mostly the same, the 5 percent drop was from crucial voters who identify as Independent, where the answer shifted 15 percent down from 2020.  There appeared to be some lack of confidence in Biden’s mental faculties among respondents as well. Only 49 percent believe Biden is mentally sound to serve as president, though it should be noted that apparently, the same amount felt that way in 2020. Only 45 percent described Biden as a strong leader, which is down from 49 percent last year.  As far as managing the government, and overall competence in general, Biden’s administration still enjoys a small lead, with 51 percent agreeing with the statement “has [the] Biden administration been competent and effective in managing government?” The percentage of those polled who disagreed was 45. There is a similar even split on the economy, with 50 percent in approval versus 49 percent disapproval.  The president has only been in office eight months, and his support is starting to crumble.  And there doesn't appear to be much opportunity in the near future to turn the drop around.  But our side must avoid overconfidence, and fight as if we're 20 points behind.  The 2022 elections are 14 months away.

September 19, 2021       Permalink

 

YOU MEAN THEY HAVE ELECTIONS? – OVERNIGHT:  The people of Canada go to a national election Monday.  The election was called by Prime Minister Justin ("he looks like a kid") Trudeau, at a time when a liberal victory looked certain.  But things have changed, and the election results are in doubt.  We hope for an upset conservative victory.  From Global News: 

On Monday morning, millions of Canadians will begin flocking to their nearest polling station to cast their votes.

But with hours left before Election Day, a new poll finds Liberals and Conservatives locked in a dead heat with the latter inching ahead by just one per cent in the national popular vote.

An Ipsos poll of 2,359 Canadians conducted exclusively for Global News showed Conservatives on track to garner 32 per cent of the popular vote, while Liberals went down a point in the polls — projected to receive 31 per cent of the vote.

Darrell Bricker, Ipsos Global Affairs CEO, told Global News that this one per cent would mean a statistical tie for the two parties and another minority government for the Liberals — reminiscent of the results from the 2019 election.

“However, this time around, the Conservatives are winning by less in the prairies and are being helped by the NDP, who are pulling votes from the Liberals in Ontario,” the Ipsos polling read.
“This, combined with a base that seems enthusiastic to vote for O’Toole and his party, could make for a very long night on Monday as the nation waits for results from close races in British Columbia.”

Meanwhile, the New Democrats received 21 per cent in the survey, while the Bloc Quebecois secured seven per cent and the Green Party earned three per cent. But nearly 20 per cent of the Canadians surveyed said they had resigned to not vote this year and refused to share their choice for Canada’s next prime minister, or said they are undecided.

There appears to be generational and gender divides when it comes to party support.

Support for Liberals was highest among women at 33 per cent, while men tended to favour the Conservatives at 37 per cent. Canadians aged 55 and up said they were more likely to lean Conservative, while respondents between the ages of 35 and 54 said they were most likely to support the Liberals. Canadians aged 18-34 said they were most likely to support the NDP.
There is also a tight race among provinces.

In Ontario, the Liberals are polling just four points ahead of Conservatives, at 33 per cent. B.C. respondents leaned Conservative, garnering the party 34 per cent of the vote in the province to the Liberals’ 26 per cent. Meanwhile in Quebec, the Liberals were at a statistical tie with the Bloc Quebecois.

COMMENT:  I make no claim that what happens in Canada will happen here, but it would be encouraging to have a conservative government to our north, especially after President Biden knifed Canada in the back by canceling the Keystone Pipeline on his first day in office. 

September 19, 2021       Permalink

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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