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MAY 19,  2022

SHORT TAKES ON THE DRIFTING WRECKAGE - OVERNIGHT: 

HISPANIC SUPPORT FOR BIDEN PLUNGES – FROM FOX:   President Biden's approval rating among Hispanic Americans has plummeted to 26%, according to a Wednesday poll from Quinnipiac University.  Biden is less popular among Hispanics than any other demographic, including age and gender, the poll found. The same Quinnipiac poll conducted last year put Hispanic support for Biden at 55%.  Biden has been consistently hitting new lows in the polls for nearly a year.  Young Americans and White men also have low approvals for Biden, at 27% and 29% respectively.  The president's highest approval ratings are among Americans older than 65 and black Americans, at 45% and 63% respectively. Black Americans are the only demographic in which Biden has a positive approval rating, according to the poll.  Biden has faced heavy criticism for his handling of the ongoing crisis at the U.S.-Mexico border.  The poll comes days before the Biden administration plans to end Title 42, a Trump-era COVID-19 rule allowing border officials to speedily deport most migrants.  Yes, the Dems appear suicidal.  They cannot exist without the Hispanic vote, and yet they do little to keep it.  If the numbers involving Hispanic voters hold through November, the Dems can easily become a part of once-remembered history.

May 19, 2022      Permalink

TURNOUT RESULTS – OVERNIGHT, FROM DAILYWIRE:   And they look good for the GOP. 

Republicans are already seeing a huge advantage in turnout during the 2022 primaries, according to one pollster.

In Tuesday’s primary elections in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Kentucky, Idaho, and Oregon, Republicans made up 54.9% of the total votes cast, according to John Couvillon, founder of the polling firm JMC Analytics. When factoring in the other five states that have already held primaries — Texas, Indiana, Ohio, Nebraska, and West Virginia, Republicans account for fully 60% of votes cast in the primaries so far.

“In every state where I’ve been measuring turnout changes relative to previous midterms, I’m seeing a clear advantage on the Republican side,” Couvillon told the New York Post Wednesday. Couvillon added that the data was “not super representative,” since it was only from 10 states with early primaries, and there are still 174 days before the general elections. Still, the data from these primaries suggest that “states that are swinging and are Republican are going to move far to the right,” he said.

Couvillon also shared his data on Twitter Wednesday. According to the data, overall turnout in the 10 states that have already had primaries was up 21% from 2018, which he noted was a high turnout year in itself. But a partisan breakdown showed a massive advantage for Republicans — so far, Democratic turnout has totaled just under five million votes, while Republicans have cast nearly 7.5 million. In addition, Democratic turnout increased by just 3% over 2018, while Republican turnout increased by 38%.

COMMENT:  We caution again that the only poll that counts is the one on election day, and election day 2022 is more than five months away.  Almost anything can happen that has the potential to tighten the race. 

The Dems are in a mean mood, and a fighting mood, and they are dominated by leftists who recognize few barriers.  After all, the Dems are so frightened of their own left wing that most of them refused to condemn the rioting of the last two years.

However, the current news should certainly give Republicans a few smiles.  If our side can keep up the momentum, and run a tough campaign, there should be millions of smiling Republican faces on election day.  But it will take relentless work.

May 19, 2022       Permalink

MAY 18, 2022

SHORT TAKES ON THE DRIFTING WRECKAGE – OVERNIGHT:

THE TRUMP EFFECT – FROM GATEWAY PUNDIT:   Here are the results to date and from last night:  Overall Record on President Trump’s endorsements – 81 Wins, 3 Losses*, 1 to be determined (Oz of Pennsylvania).  Okay, hats off to the former president.  His endorsements seem to make a difference, or is it that he understands what people want?

MIDEAST INTRIGUE – FROM THE JERUSALEM POST:  Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz met with US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan in the White House on Wednesday to discuss the threat posed by Iran’s nuclear project and the progress made by the Islamic Republic. The meeting came less than a day after the Saudi Deputy Defense Minister Prince Khalid Bin Salman met with Sullivan. On Wednesday, Bin Salman met with US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, who Gantz is scheduled to meet on Thursday.   The timing of both meetings lent to speculation that Israel was coordinating next moves on Iran with the US and Saudi Arabia.  I certainly hope so.  Iran is a major and growing threat...even when it is off the front pages.  It is also an ally of Russia.  It also has powerful, if self-deluded, friends in Washington and Europe.  I hope there are people in key places who understand the importance of Iran not being permitted to be a nuclear power.

May 18, 2022       Permalink

PRIMARY AFTERMATH – OVERNIGHT:  The race for the GOP Senate nomination in Pennsylvania is still too close to call.  It may take a week or more to determine who won, and a recount is still a major possibility.   From AP:

HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) — Heart surgeon-turned-TV celebrity Dr. Mehmet Oz and former hedge fund CEO David McCormick went into Wednesday essentially tied in Pennsylvania’s hotly contested Republican nomination for an open U.S. Senate seat, expected to be among the nation’s most competitive races in the fall.

The contest was within a couple thousand votes overnight, out of more than 1.2 million cast. Trailing in a distant third place in the seven-person GOP primary field was conservative activist Kathy Barnette.

The Associated Press has not called the race. Some counties had yet to tabulate all of their mail-in ballots and the counting of provisional, overseas and military absentee ballots could last all week.

There is no runoff law in Pennsylvania. But the race was close enough to trigger Pennsylvania’s automatic recount law, with the separation between Oz and McCormick inside the 0.5% margin that prompts an order by the state’s top election official.

Oz and McCormick emerged at their election night watch parties after midnight to say they would have to wait for vote-counting to resume Wednesday to determine a winner, with each saying he was confident of victory. There are no plans for either candidate to make a public appearance, though former President Donald Trump has encouraged Oz to preemptively declare victory. Oz has not made any suggestion that he will do so.

The state’s lieutenant governor, John Fetterman, won the Democratic nomination hours after undergoing surgery to implant a pacemaker with a defibrillator to help him recover from a stroke he suffered on Friday.

Democrats view the race to replace retiring two-term Republican Sen. Pat Toomey as perhaps their best opportunity to pick up a seat in the closely divided 100-seat Senate.
Republican turnout exceeded 37%, the highest midterm primary turnout in at least two decades, juiced by more than $70 million in spending on the GOP primary alone.

COMMENT:  That turnout figure is important.  As we noted yesterday, turnout in primaries is a pretty good indicator of voter enthusiasm.  The Dems are counting on the upcoming Supreme Court decision in Roe v. Wade to drive turnout on their side, but it may be a false hope.  The protests against the Court are pretty much exhausted, voters know what's coming, and the left will probably go too far in their reaction and drive away more voters than they attract.

May 18, 2022     Permalink