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MARCH 28, 2022

SHORT TAKES ON THE DRIFTING WRECKAGE – OVERNIGHT:

COULD IT HAPPEN?   Related to the piece below is the cautious belief that my blue state, the once-great New York, could actually elect a Republican governor this year. Now, let's be careful about that. New York Republicans love to lose. That's why they do it so often, so take everything you read with a grain of tofu. From the New York Sun:  New York’s Republicans are eyeing with confidence a suburban strategy as a path to victory in the 2022 gubernatorial race, though significant challenges lay ahead. The state’s suburban counties are “probably the most fertile ground for persuadable voters,” a John Jay professor, Brian Arbour, told The New York Sun.
He said counties like Westchester, Suffolk, and Nassau will be prime areas for GOP candidates looking to loosen the Democratic stranglehold on the governorship to pick up votes in the 2022 election. “The big urban areas are going to go for the Democrats, rural areas will go for Republicans, and the suburbs will be the big place where Republicans can persuade voters,” Mr. Arbour said. This strategy has borne fruit for Republicans in other states.  In Virginia, Governor Youngkin’s victory was widely credited to high turnout in the suburbs, where his campaign managed to mobilize voters on issues like inflation, school curriculum, and Covid mandates.
In New Jersey, Republicans nearly secured victory after implementing a suburban strategy similar to Mr. Youngkin. Although Governor Murphy managed to retain office, Republicans narrowed 2017’s 12-point loss to three points.   I will add my own hunch that the Democratic vote in New York City will be lower than normal thanks to the raging crime rate. Remember, when pushed far enough, New York City dwellers can be convinced to vote Republican. Recall that New York elected Rudy Giuliani as mayor, and he broke the back of the crime wave.

March 28, 2022     Permalink

AMERICA VOTES WITH ITS FEET – OVERNIGHT: It is a political year, and, no matter what else is happening in the world, politics is always in our minds. Politics means people, and where those people are going will determine the political future of the country. Some states are losing population, others gaining. And the pattern is very clear. From the New York Post:

Four of the nation’s top 10 metro areas with the highest population growth last year were in Florida — more than any other state, according to new US Census data.

Punta Gorda, The Villages, Lakeland-Winter Have and Cape Coral-Fort Myers all saw their numbers pop by more than 3 percent, the figures show.

In addition, two Florida counties qualified for the top 10 percentage population growth list.
St. John’s County grew by 5.6 percent, while Nassau County rose by 3.5 percent, according to the data.

A pair of Florida counties made the top 10 list of numeric population hikes. Both Polk and Lee counties added more than 20,000 residents in 2021.

Eight of the top 10 counties with the steepest numerical population declines were either in New York and California, according to the Census data.

Miami-Dade County — which lost 38,990 residents in 2021 — was the only Florida entrant on that list.
Los Angeles County lost the most residents with 184,000, while New York County shed roughly 117,000, the numbers released last week show.

Statewide, Florida’s population increased by 211,000 between July 2020 and July 2021, according to the census report — second only to Texas.

California, Illinois and New York all registered the sharpest overall population losses last year.

The US Census also revealed this month that the Sunshine State accounted for more new business applications than any other state.

COMMENT:  Florida is gaining.  New York and California are losing.  The pattern trending away from the Democratic states is obvious.  We will see it politically in close elections, where the Democratic edge will turn into the Republican edge.  At least that's what we hope.  One fear among conservatives is that blue staters escaping the mess of the blue states will continue to vote Democratic, out of habit or culture.  We'll know if there's any truth to that after November's election.  As Sinatra said, leave us we should pray.

March 28, 2022     Permalink

MARCH 27, 2022

GOP ROMPS ON EDUCATION – OVERNIGHT: Who would have believed it? Historically, the Democrats have been known as the education party. They'd cornered the market. Why, wasn't it true that all people who read books were Democrats? All teachers? All college professors? We all knew that Republicans only read balance sheets and instruction manuals for Chevy pickups. Or maybe something on the history of the NFL. But wait. Something's happening. Hard to believe it, but the GOP has drunk the intellectual Kool-Aid. MIracles happen. From Breitbart:

Democrat extremism and the ongoing implosion of America’s government-run school system have given Republicans a seven-point advantage on who can better handle the issue of education.

Rasmussen asked 1,000 likely voters, “Who do you trust more to deal with education issues. Democrats or Republicans?” Only 36 percent said Democrats, while 43 percent said Republicans. Eighteen percent said the two parties are “about the same.”

What should worry Democrats most of all is that only 34 percent of women chose Democrats, while 42 percent chose the GOP. That’s an eight-point gap. A plurality of 45 percent of black voters chose Democrats, while a whopping 31 percent chose Republicans. Normally, those numbers would be something like 80 percent for Democrats and 11 percent for Republicans.

Even 12 percent of Democrats chose the GOP on education, as did a plurality of 42 percent of Independents. Only 25 percent of Independents chose Democrats.

Historically, education has been a top issue for Democrats, a winning issue, but the tables have turned since Democrats began to openly embrace the worst kind of corrupting and perverse extremism. Democrats backed closing government-run schools throughout much of the pandemic. Democrats favor the anti-science and cruel masking of kids. Democrats support teaching kids gay porn. Democrats support teaching white kids they are racist oppressors and black kids they have no chance of success in America.

Democrats want to sexualize and groom kids, teach them to fail, teach them to hate the greatest country in the history of the world, teach them everything but the basics required to make a living.

In this same poll, a massive majority of 84 percent said that in the upcoming congressional elections, education would be “very” (53 percent) or “somewhat” (31 percent) important. Only 13 percent said “not very” (12 percent) or “not at all” (1 percent) important.

When asked, “Is the quality of public schools in America getting better or worse?” A clear majority of 58 percent said “worse,” while only 13 percent said “better.”

COMMENT: The mothers' revolt started in Virginia, and the Republicans took advantage of it. The Dems ran against the mothers. The Dems are unemployed. The Dems still don't understand that mothers are important, and that mothers want the best schools for their kids. The Dems are asking, "What's a mother?" Like their Supreme Court nominee, who can't define "woman," the Dems can't define "mother." And they can't define "literacy."

The GOP has a supermarket filled with great issues. Now they must exploit them, and not make the same old Republican mistake – giving up before the race even starts. I think the party is past that. I'm already buying my popcorn for election night.

March 27, 2022     Permalink