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JUNE 15, 2022

GOP VICTORY – OVERNIGHT:  Texas Republicans have flipped a seat in the U.S. House of Representatives that had become vacant upon the resignation of the Democratic congressman.  However, the newly elected Republican will only serve out the remainder of the congressman's term.  Another election, for a full two-year term, will be held in November.    From Fox: 

Republican Mayra Flores is projected to win a special election in Texas's 34th Congressional District, flipping a House seat after Rep. Filemon Vela, who held the seat for nearly 10 years, resigned in March and vacated the seat.

Flores, who had 51% of the vote to Democratic candidate Dan Sanchez's 43% when the Associated Press called the race, will become the first Mexican-born congresswoman to serve in the House. Her family moved to the United States when she was six years old.
Flores will finish out the remainder of Vela's term, which expires in January, and Republicans were eager to win the seat and gain new ground in the Lone Star state to represent the district that spans east of San Antonio with parts along the coast to Brownsville. As currently drawn, the 34th Congressional District will essentially be dissolved later this year after a newly redrawn map favoring current 15th Congressional District Rep. Vicente Gonzalez, the Democratic nominee for November's general election to represent the 34th District, was constructed.

Ahead of the election, the two front runners in the race for a short term on Capitol Hill were Sanchez, a former Cameron County commissioner, a Democrat, and healthcare worker Flores, a Republican who outspent Sanchez and gained steam in the race for the seat that has been vacant for more than two months.

Sanchez, a pro-life Democrat who ran in the election, was largely outspent by Flores and did not receive much support on a national level. Earlier this month, it was revealed that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), despite its overwhelming support for abortion, forked out thousands of dollars in an ad partnership with Sanchez.

COMMENT:  Flores will have to fight to hold the seat for Republicans in November, but this victory gives her a major head start.  She'll be running as the incumbent.  If she can hold the seat, it will be a significant blow to traditional Democratic dominance of the area.  Republicans need momentum to keep Texas in the Republican column in the 2024 presidential vote.  Watch the money pour into this congressional district.

June 15, 2022       Permalink

JUNE 13-14, 2022

HIS PLACE IN HISTORY – 8:05 P.M. ET:  Like the Titanic, Joe Biden is known for sinking.  From Issues & Insights: 

On day 487 in office, President Joe Biden set a new record. He has the lowest approval rating of all presidents at this point in their presidencies since Gallup started tracking this in 1945.

According to Gallup’s Presidential Job Approval Center, just 41% approve of the job Biden is doing. That’s worse than Gerald Ford, or Lyndon Johnson, or even Jimmy Carter on day 487. Much worse than Ronald Reagan, the Bushes, Bill Clinton, or Barack Obama.

To add insult to his injury, Biden’s approval rating is now lower than Trump’s was at this point in Trump’s first term.
Biden’s oh-so-presidential response to his cratering support: he is “seething.”

Instead of accepting blame, Biden and his “inner circle” are blaming everyone around them, including the White House staff. Politico reports that: “Members of Biden’s inner circle, including first lady Jill Biden and the president’s sister, Valerie Biden Owens, have complained that West Wing staff has managed Biden with kid gloves, not putting him on the road more or allowing him to flash more of his genuine, relatable, albeit gaffe-prone self.”

Yeah, letting Biden be Biden will work.

Maybe Jill and the rest of the inner circle will convince Joe to change his hairstyle like Carter did halfway through his presidency in hopes that it would win people back to his side.

For the record, here are the approval ratings for all the presidents since Truman at this point in their first elected term in office, according to Gallup:

• Eisenhower: 63%
• Kennedy: 71%
• Nixon: 59%
• Carter: 43%
• Reagan: 45%
• Bush: 65%
• Clinton: 51%
• Bush: 76%
• Obama: 48%
• Trump: 42%
• Biden: 41%

COMMENT:  The problem with Biden is that he's a generally untalented man whose lack of talent is well past its prime.  Reagan was only at 45% at this time in his presidency, but he was packed with talent and good ideas, and he knew how to speak to the American people.  He rose, and won re-election by a landslide.  Biden falls, he's trapped by the Soviet wing of his party, and he inspires no confidence.

The Democratic Party theme song used to be, "Happy Days are Here Again."  Now it's, "Dearie, Do You Remember?"

June 13-14, 2022       Permalink 

OH, NOW LOOK AT THIS – OVERNIGHT:   You all know the beautiful saga of the friend-of-Lenin prosecutor who was removed from office in San Francisco last week.  We're starting to get more detailed numbers on the recall election, and they're pretty stunning.  From Real Clear Politics: 

As the dust has settled in the days since a political earthquake hit California with the landslide recall of San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin, a distinct voting pattern has emerged.

Precinct-by-precinct voting maps show minority voters backing the recall in much higher numbers than college-educated, affluent white progressives, with very few exceptions. It’s not difficult to understand why, California political analysts across the spectrum tell RealClearPolitics. Minority communities suffer more when crimes rates are soaring than insulated wealthier neighborhoods with more protections and money for security.

You mean minority folks don't want to be mugged, and don't want their kids robbed?  What kind of minorities are these?  They can't be legitimate.

Precinct-by-precinct voting maps show minority voters backing the recall in much higher numbers than college-educated, affluent white progressives, with very few exceptions. It’s not difficult to understand why, California political analysts across the spectrum tell RealClearPolitics. Minority communities suffer more when crimes rates are soaring than insulated wealthier neighborhoods with more protections and money for security.

“While we are fewer in number [than in the city’s past], we saw more African Americans resist the narrative that you have to reject this recall, it’s racist, it’s not progressive, it’s about conservatism, and they’re trying to dupe you,” Andrea Shorter, spokeswoman for Safer SF Without Boudin, the largest Boudin recall group, told RCP. “We’re looking around, and a lot of the bodies that are stacking up, whether it’s from fentanyl or from violent assaults from folks who should not have been on our streets…are people of color.”

Under different circumstances, Shorter and Boudin would have been aligned in their pursuit of criminal justice reform. Shorter has spent 25 years in San Francisco as a community organizer and political strategist specializing in criminal and juvenile justice reform, gender equity, and LGBTQ workplace inclusion. But the city’s interwoven problems of homelessness, high crime, and rampant drug dealing had brought Shorter to a breaking point with liberal orthodoxy.

“There’s this romantic notion of what being a progressive means versus the reality of policies that are not having a positive impact on our lives,” she said. “When there are open-air drug markets in the Tenderloin – well, who’s getting hurt by that? We’re all getting hurt, but it’s mostly people of color that are hurt.”

San Francisco is one of the most ethnically diverse cities in the country; its residents speak more than 100 languages. Asians make up roughly a third of the city’s population, with a large percentage of its business owners anchored in Chinatown, which voted 68% in favor of the recall.

Several high-profile Asian community leaders helped spearhead the recall, including Mary Jung, former chair of the San Francisco Democratic Party, and Leanna Louie, a small-business owner and veteran who was one of 60 Asian Americans assaulted on the streets of San Francisco in 2021 – more than a six-fold increase from 2020.

Louie began volunteering with a community-run task force to patrol Chinatown’s neighborhood when shop owners began experiencing a significant uptake in burglaries and vandalism.

“There’s two kinds of people in San Francisco. Ones who were victims and ones who are about to be victims, if Chesa doesn’t get recalled,” Louie told Newsweek days before the recall. “Most people who come by us have already had their cars smashed in several times, their houses broken into or their [businesses] have been vandalized.”

Shorter and others point to an alarming statistic: Fentanyl overdoses in San Francisco killed more people than COVID over the last year. While the surging fentanyl crisis killed nearly 500 people last year, Boudin’s office reportedly did not secure a single conviction for dealing the deadly opioid for cases filed during 2021.

COMMENT:  That's good reporting, and reinforces a new political reality – that minorities, the core of the Democratic Party, are turning against that party.  People in minority communities are becoming truly woke, and are realizing that the party does nothing for them, while demanding their vote.

The recall also shows that minorities are growing independent of their leaders, who are often part of the Democratic machine.  At this rate, the Democratic Party may soon be made up of Marxists, escaped prisoners, and anthropologists.   They could start a new Ivy League school, or replace CNN.

June 13, 2022       Permalink