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DECEMBER 13,  2021

SHORT TAKES ON THE DRIFTING WRECKAGE – OVERNIGHT: 

THE PARENTS' REVOLT CONTINUES – FROM HOT AIR:   It’s a start. In run-off elections for Houston ISD board trustees, two conservatives defeated their incumbent Democrat opponents. National politics look to have influenced voters as they rejected hot button issues like Critical Race Theory and face mask mandates in Houston public schools. Both conservative candidates used the issues on the campaign trail.
There has not been conservative representation on the HISD school board since 2019. It is a nine-member board so clearly, two conservatives are in the minority. It is good news to simply have them on the board. This looks to be another bad sign for Democrats as the midterm elections next November loom in the background. Frustrated voters are not only in blue states like Virginia but also in blue cities like Houston. HISD is the largest public school system in Texas and one of the largest in the United States. It is crucial for conservatives to have representation on the school board.  The elections are not supposed to be partisan but everyone knows which party the candidates are associated with during the campaigns. Local Democrats, including County Judge Lina Hidalgo, endorsed candidates in the run-off elections. These races are like the mayor’s race or the county judge’s race – they, too, are supposed to be non-partisan but party affiliations are clear.  We must be relentless. The left got a jump on us by recognizing years ago the importance of local institutions, like school boards.  Now we're on to their game.  Leave no position unchallenged!  Take back the schools!

December 13 , 2021       Permalink

 

NEW POLLING THAT DEMOCRATS WON'T LOVE – OVERNIGHT:   Polling is now remarkably consistent, although specific numbers will differ slightly from poll to poll.  The Dems are down, dragged down by the president's low numbers, and the Republicans have "opportunity" flashed in their faces.  We hope they notice.  From Issues and Insights/TIPP: 

When it comes to the 2024 presidential election, Republicans are far more enthusiastic about former President Trump running again than Democrats are about President Biden gaining a second term, new data from the December I&I/TIPP Poll show. It’s yet another sign that, a mere 11 months into his term, Biden’s support remains surprisingly weak within his own party.

The I&I/TIPP Poll gave respondents the names of Trump and 15 other possible Republican candidates, asking “Who do you want to see run for president on the Republican ticket in 2024?” We asked the same question for the Democrats. We wrote about those results last week here and here.

In our poll, 24% of those queried in whatever party said they wanted President Trump to run again, while 22% said they wanted Biden to do so.

But the apparent closeness of the support for the two possible candidates may be deceptive. A closer look at the data shows a wide disparity in actual support for the two candidates within their own parties.

As the poll numbers clearly show, Trump’s support within the Republican Party is far stronger than Biden’s within the Democratic Party. Among Republicans, 60% said they wanted Trump to run again for president in 2024. In contrast, just 37% of Democrats wanted Biden to run again in three years, a devastating sign of Biden’s weakening support within his own party.

Among independents, 17% express support for a Trump run in 2024, compared to just 8% for Biden, a worrisome data point for Democrats hoping to attract swing voters in coming elections.

All these data come from December’s I&I/TIPP Poll of 1,013 registered voters. The poll was conducted online from Dec. 1-4 by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence, I&I’s polling partner, with a margin of error of +/-3.2 percentage points.

One significant factor jumps out from the Trump data: None of the 15 other potential Trump challengers listed had double-digit support, so Trump has a large early edge for 2024. Former Vice President Mike Pence got closest, with 8% support, followed by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (6%), and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley (5%), Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (3%), and New York Rep. Elise Stefanik and Florida Sen. Marco (both at 2%).

They were followed by Missouri Sen. Josh Hawley, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, Florida Sen. Rick Scott, South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem, South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott, former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Nebraska Sen. Ben Sasse, and Arkansas Sen. Tom Cotton, all at 1%. “Other” received 8%, while “not sure” got 29%.

COMMENT:  Look, it's only 2021.  The presidential election is three years off.  That's about 400 lifetimes in politics.  The numbers we see aren't shocking, but today's polls should be taken only as early indications of trends, and as fun.

We should be focusing more on next year's midterms.  Republicans have their best opportunity in modern history to send the Democrats walking back to their single-sex restrooms.  Seizing that opportunity will be our side's greatest task, and most challenging one.

December 13, 2021       Permalink

 

 

 

 

 

DECEMBER 12,  2021

SHORT TAKES ON THE DRIFTING WRECKAGE – OVERNIGHT:

NEVER-NEVER LAND – FROM FOX:    New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio claimed Sunday that the city is "much safer" now than it was when he took the reins eight years ago, despite a recent surge in murders.
"Eight years I’ve been mayor, index crimes, major crimes in New York City down 11% over eight years. And we did it bringing police and community closer together," de Blasio said on "Fox News Sunday."  "The bottom line is that there is today in New York City, a much safer city than we were eight years ago."  While major crimes are down overall, murders skyrocketed last year and have remained high so far in 2021.  There were 318 murders in 2013, but that number shot up to 437 last year and there have been 443 murders so far in 2021, according to NYPD data.  Blas will be gone in two and a half weeks, and maybe he can find employment in Cuba.  He has been a terrible mayor.  We look forward to Mayor Eric Adams, a former cop, who takes over January 1st.  Adams has national ambitions, and I doubt if he'll show much loyalty to the nut wing of the Democratic Party.  I hope I'm right.

December 12, 2021       Permalink

 

A FUTURE PRESIDENT? – OVERNIGHT:  Republican Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida continues his creative, fast-paced term, and will be up for re-election next year.  His record has earned him the right to be considered a major contender for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination.  From the New York Post: 

Now that the New York City Council has generously granted noncitizens the vote, it should be obvious why President Biden has laid out the welcome mat to migrants at the southern border.

Today’s illegal migrant is tomorrow’s Democratic voter, goes the calculus, and pesky formalities like citizenship just delay the glorious process.

Fittingly, one of Mayor de Blasio’s last acts of vandalism against the city will be to sign this abomination into law.

Cue Gov. Ron DeSantis, who plans to deport illegal migrants flown secretly into Florida from the southern border by the Biden administration.

Destination: Delaware, the president’s home state, or Martha’s Vineyard, Barack Obama’s holiday paradise.

“If you sent [them] to Delaware or Martha’s Vineyard, that border would be secure the next day,” DeSantis said Friday.

To that end, he allocated $8 million in last week’s state budget to fly the migrants back to elite Democrat enclaves, including Washington, DC.

It was a masterful piece of trolling, but with a serious purpose that other states should emulate.

After all, we know from open-source flight maps that “Biden Air” has been secreting illegal migrants all over the country, not just sending them to White Plains, but to Jacksonville, Fla., Alexandria, Va., Chattanooga, Tenn., Long Beach, Calif., and other destinations far and wide.

If the federal government is intent on keeping the southern border open and refuses to notify states when it dumps a new bunch of unvetted, unvaccinated migrants on their doorstep, it is up to governors to stand up for their communities and stop their services being overwhelmed by the influx.

Ever since the Post revealed that charter planes packed with illegal migrants were being secretly flown from border towns in Texas and Arizona into Westchester via Jacksonville, DeSantis has been on the warpath.

Unlike New York authorities who ignored the story, DeSantis snapped into action and enacted laws to “protect Floridians from the Biden Border Crisis.”

“You’re having 200,000 people illegally enter every month. That’s a medium-sized American city every month coming in illegally,” he said.

One of the smartest measures he announced last week was a crackdown on companies and nongovernmental organizations that facilitate illegal immigration into his state.

COMMENT:  I'd love to see him in the White House.  He's a man of action, and the action seems well calculated.  He will, of course, be called a racist, but that charge won't stick. 

The only element holding back DeSantis is Donald Trump.  If Trump runs, he could probably have the Republican nomination.  But those developments are way off.  DeSantis's first job is to get re-elected governor in 2022.  Current polling shows him in reasonably good shape against any leading Democratic prospect.

December 12,  2021     Permalink 

 

 

 

 

 

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