William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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MARK THIS COMING MONDAY – OVERNIGHT:  It will be May 9th, the day that Russia commemorates victory over Nazi Germany in 1945.  It is a major day on the Russian calendar, a day when the victory is celebrated with massive military parades and muscle flexing.

The question is:  What will Russia do on Monday, considering the combat in Ukraine?  Will it announce a new policy?  Dig in further?  Call up reserves?  Declare victory?  Use nuclear weapons?  The world will be watching, and listening.  From Fox: 

As Russian soldiers, tanks, and military vehicles carrying ballistic missiles participate in a military parade next week, Russian President Vladimir Putin hopes the display sends a "doomsday" warning to Europe and the United States, according to a report.

The World War II parade, which Russia celebrates on May 9 each year, marks the 77th anniversary of the Soviet Union’s victory in Europe, when allied powers defeated Nazi Germany, and is taking place when countries around the world seek to stop Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. 

The military display will also feature supersonic jets, Tu-160 bombers, and the Ilyushin Il-80 — known as Russia’s "doomsday" plane which carries the administration’s senior leadership in the case of a nuclear war, Reuters reported.

The "Flying Kremlin" aircraft, as it is also known, distinctly has no windows except for those in the very front of the plane and has been seen in Moscow in recent days, participating in low-altitude rehearsal flights for the Victory Day parade, Daily Mail reported.

This year will be the first time Russia includes the Soviet-era plane in the annual military demonstration since 2010, according to the report.

The theme of nuclear readiness and international deterrence will also be shown in Russia’s use of missile carriers Tu-95MS and Tu-160 "White Swan," as well as Su-57 fighter and Tu-22M3 long-range bombers, Daily Mail reported.

Russia’s military occupation of Ukraine will also be referenced in the parade as eight MiG-29SMTs intend to fly in the form of the letter "Z," which has become a symbol of Russia’s military, according to the report.

COMMENT:  Reports from Ukraine tell us that Russia is building up its forces in the east, and that major, brutal battles can be expected in the coming weeks.  Russian casualties are said to be exceptionally high.  No one is certain what Putin will do if his forces do not capture enough ground in east Ukraine to declare victory.

I'm seriously concerned that Americans are already losing interest in Ukraine.  That may change in the face of what may well be the most brutal ground combat in Europe since World War II.

I urge you to keep up with reports from Moscow all day Monday.  We may, or may not, be given the Russian view of the future.  Right now that view seems to be grim.

May 6, 2022