William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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GOP VICTORY – OVERNIGHT:  Texas Republicans have flipped a seat in the U.S. House of Representatives that had become vacant upon the resignation of the Democratic congressman.  However, the newly elected Republican will only serve out the remainder of the congressman's term.  Another election, for a full two-year term, will be held in November.    From Fox: 

Republican Mayra Flores is projected to win a special election in Texas's 34th Congressional District, flipping a House seat after Rep. Filemon Vela, who held the seat for nearly 10 years, resigned in March and vacated the seat.

Flores, who had 51% of the vote to Democratic candidate Dan Sanchez's 43% when the Associated Press called the race, will become the first Mexican-born congresswoman to serve in the House. Her family moved to the United States when she was six years old.
Flores will finish out the remainder of Vela's term, which expires in January, and Republicans were eager to win the seat and gain new ground in the Lone Star state to represent the district that spans east of San Antonio with parts along the coast to Brownsville. As currently drawn, the 34th Congressional District will essentially be dissolved later this year after a newly redrawn map favoring current 15th Congressional District Rep. Vicente Gonzalez, the Democratic nominee for November's general election to represent the 34th District, was constructed.

Ahead of the election, the two front runners in the race for a short term on Capitol Hill were Sanchez, a former Cameron County commissioner, a Democrat, and healthcare worker Flores, a Republican who outspent Sanchez and gained steam in the race for the seat that has been vacant for more than two months.

Sanchez, a pro-life Democrat who ran in the election, was largely outspent by Flores and did not receive much support on a national level. Earlier this month, it was revealed that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), despite its overwhelming support for abortion, forked out thousands of dollars in an ad partnership with Sanchez.

COMMENT:  Flores will have to fight to hold the seat for Republicans in November, but this primary victory gives her a major head start.  She'll be running as the incumbent.  If she can hold the seat, it will be a significant blow to traditional Democratic dominance of the area.  Republicans need momentum to keep Texas in the Republican column in the 2024 presidential vote.  Watch the money pour into this congressional district.

June 15, 2022