William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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BEST NEWS THE GOP HAS HAD IN DECADES – OVERNIGHT:  It's the Hispanic vote, something the mainstream media would prefer not to mention.  But it may well turn out to be the most important story of next year's elections.  From Daily Mail: 

Latino voters are dividing their support between both political parties, which is bad news for the Democrats, who have historically counted on the minority group for outsized support. 

A new Wall Street Journal poll found that when Hispanic voters were asked the party of candidates they'd support in the Congressional elections next year, 37 per cent chose the Democratic candidate, while another 37 per cent said Republican. 

In a hypothetical rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, 44 per cent said Biden while 43 per cent said Trump. 

Biden's disapproval rating his higher than his approval rating among Hispanic voters as well. 

The Journal poll found that 54 per cent of Latinos currently disapprove of the job Biden is doing, versus 42 per cent who approve. 

In 2020, Trump - whose campaign dedicated significant resources to Latino outreach - did see gains. 

According to a Pew Research Center report, Trump received 38 per cent of the Hispanic vote, compared to Biden's 59 per cent. 

In 2016, Trump - the winner of the race - received just 28 per cent of the Hispanic vote, while Democrat Hillary Clinton walked away with 66 per cent. 

The party of Trump had even worse midterm performance in 2018, Pew found, with 72 per cent of Latino voters supporting Democratic Congressional candidates and 25 per cent supporting Republicans.  

Driving the trend toward Republicans now could be Hispanic mens' desire to see the country return to Trump's economic policies. 

The Journal poll found that Hispanic men believed Republicans pushed better economic policies by a margin of 17 points.  

COMMENT:  What we are also seeing in the Hispanic communities is the impact of generational change.  As a distinguished Hispanic broadcaster told me, young Hispanics don't want to wear Che Guevara T-shirts.  They want to wear Brooks Brothers suits, and they are.  They don't want to overthrow the system.  They want to be part of it.

A great development.  But Republicans must never take a community for granted just because it is moving in their direction.  Work for every vote, and run as if you're 20 points behind.

December 8, 2021